Romney and Dolchstosslegende

Steven Benen notes that Mitt Romney’s justification for dropping out was that we are at war and if he didn’t drop out, he would continue to fracture the GOP, allowing the Democrats to win, and subsequently, the terrorists. Here’s Mitt Romney earlier today, quitting the race:

“If I fight on in my campaign, all the way to the convention, I would forestall the launch of a national campaign and make it more likely that Senator Clinton or Obama would win. And in this time of war, I simply cannot let my campaign, be a part of aiding a surrender to terror.”

Benen writes:

In other words, Romney argued, with a straight face, that if he didn’t drop out, the terrorists win. And since he loves America, he can’t let that happen.

This gets directly to the narrative that we are already seeing from John McCain and will no doubt become the overarching theme embraced by the GOP in attacking our candidates and eventual nominee. “Democrats will surrender. Democrats will let the terrorists win. Democrats will stab the troops in the back.”

Dave Neiwert had a post up yesterday delving deep into the use of “Dolchstosslegende” by the right. It’s instructive given that Romney’s speech is probably a pretty close approximation to what we can expect to continue to see it coming from Republican candidates and pundits in attacking Democrats. They’ve been using this language extensively already and it’s only going to get worse and come from larger microphones afforded by the Presidential campaign, namely John McCain and his surrogates.

Update:

Right after hitting post, I see that Neiwert actually identified the same thing here as Benen and I, while agreeing that “Democrats had better brace themselves for a lot more of this.” Give Neiwert’s post a read.

The Beast is Red

Last year I went to CPAC and had a hell of a time monitoring the atrocities. I’m not going this year, but fortunately for me Mister Leonard Pierce of Sadly, No! is there and doing a better recreation of Hunter S. Thompson’s gonzo journalism than Matt Taibbi could ever dream to achieve. In his latest update, he writes about Cheney’s arrival into CPAC:

People are clapping rhythmically – well, as rhythmically as this crowd is ever going to get – for Cheney. For Cheney! I keep expecting them to start chanting “WE WANT THE SHOW” like they’re waiting for the Blues Brothers, the presence of whom would color up the crowd considerably. Wyoming senator John Barrasso introduces the fiend of the hour: “The C in CPAC should stand for Cheney!” The C in CPAC should stand for cocksucker, how about that?, I think, as the combination of drugs and fear turn me into a surly 15-year-old. Cheney is damned lucky I don’t have a roll of toilet paper, that’s all I can say. The crowd gives Dick a standing o, and, as a gang of bull-veined dudes in front of me start chanting “FOUR MORE YEARS!”, I get the sensation for the first time all day that I’m at something that could easily turn into a fascist rally. When the applause finally quells, Dick chuckles evilly. Can that be done? Is a chuckle even feasible as the delivery vector for evil? If it is, Dick Cheney is the man capable of pulling it off with finesse. I have to admit, the guy has a certain degree of charm, but it’s the same kind of charm that you might find in Stalin or Dracula: the easy charisma of a man who knows he can, with a wave of his hand, have you ground into paste.

Cheney goes on to discuss national security issues:

National security, though, that’s another matter: he gets another standing ovation for “The absence of another 9/11 is not an accident, it’s an achievement”. (The presence of the first 9/11, apparently, was and accident.) A laundry list of constitutional butt-wipes get standing ovations from about half of the crowd: an expansion of FISA, the torture of terror suspects, and the financial protection of any big corporation who might theoretically have allowed illegal wiretapping to take place. The telecoms, says Cheney, shouldn’t be “hassled” for acting in “good faith”, which usage of the phrase is unfamiliar to me. Terror, terror, terror: it’s the Dick Cheney boilerplate. (Bonus homosexual innuendo, Dick Cheney edition: describing the President’s term in office, he says “We’ve done hard things and done them well.”) Weirdly enough – or maybe not so much – his defense of torture gets a standing ovation, but his praising of our fighting men in uniform does not. It takes a man to fight, but it takes a train to waterboard.

He has four posts up so far, two from today, two from his travels to DC. Here are the links to Part 1, Part 2 & Part 3. I can’t wait for more updates…

Oh and for those interested, you can read my posts from CPAC last year here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here, and here.

State of Affairs

My angst over the impending failures of Democrats to win the FISA fight is compared positively to the angst Republicans at the National Review Online feel about the impending victory of John McCain as their party’s nominee. T Rex writes:

Okay, you guys know we’re probably going to lose the FISA fight, right? I was talking to a fellow blogger on the phone last night after it was announced that Obama had swept Georgia and I couldn’t help but be just a little excited, you know?

Well, my friend (who has been plunged up to his earlobes in FISA issues, tracking the tiniest movements between committees and members of Congress on the issue for months) was less than enthused. “Great,” he said, “I hope you enjoy tonight.” Although, his tone of voice was more, “Well, if you must believe the hype, I hope it brings you some small measure of comfort, since neither of these two candidates has so much as lifted a finger to protect your privacy from the prying eyes of the Bush administration…”.

I maturely shouted down the phone, “Phooey on you, Mr. Gloomy Sad-Sack McMiseryguts! Barack Obama is the BLACK KENNEDY! And he’s going to make EVERYTHING BETTER. He’s going to bring me a brand new Red Rider BB gun with a scope and a compass on the stock and a giant bag of candy, right after he parts the Red Sea for the Democrats, which he’s doing just to be nice because that man can just walk right on the water! Nyah, nyah, nyah!! LA LA LA LA LA! I can’t hear yooooou!”

Well, bleak as some aspects of our current situation may be, they’re still not as bad as they are for the Republicans, and far be it from me to refrain from laughing at their pain. And there’s no better place to do that than at the NRO’s blog, The Corner.

I don’t know if I should laugh or cry. I do feel good that the GOP is in such disarray, even as their nomination gets locked up. Comparatively, our nomination is a far more confusing situation, but hey, we all seem to like it. At the same time, though, my enthusiasm about our candidates has undoubtedly been tempered by their refusal to prioritize defending the Constitution and the rule of law in their campaigns and as Senators employed by the American people. Going far beyond the presidential candidates, the failure of Senate Democrats to set a stage that allows us to win is far more disheartening than the relative absence of Obama and Clinton. At least from an ideological standpoint, I trust that the presidential candidates are with me. I can’t say the same thing about Mr. Reid.

But hey, at least the GOP base is going to despise their nominee!

A Thought

John McCain is the John Kerry of 2008.

In the 2004 cycle Kerry was the presumptive nominee early on, which allowed him to build an A-list campaign with top staff,  he fell far behind in the polls, and in the end was able to surge back to the nomination.

In 2008, McCain has played out on very similar terms as Kerry.

Dem vs GOP Unity

I have a lot of issues with today’s Times editorial on the divisions in both parties. At ground, though, is the notion that the Democrats face the same post-nomination hurdles as the Republicans with regards to the winning candidate bringing the loser’s coalition along with them.

The splits between Democratic voters over Obama and Clinton do not seem to reside in ideological segments. It’s not as if all the union voters are with one candidate and all of the anti-war voters are with another and the Democratic coalition faces an irreparable division as a result. Rather, while both Obama and Clinton are securing some unique demographics, the reasons for the splits seem more around what the candidate offers as opposed to ideology. In the end, I imagine both candidates’ Democratic supporters staying with the Democratic nominee.

The opposite is true on the Republican sides. Major Republican figureheads like Rush Limbaugh, Ann Coulter, Glenn Beck, and James Dobson have said they won’t campaign for McCain or would prefer Hillary Clinton to him. Huckabee is pulling Southern, evangelical “values” voters. Romney is taking a share of conservatives and and big business Republicans. This is a divided party and they will have major hurdles to overcome to have John McCain put together a winning coalition if he is the nominee.

Until Democratic talking heads and icons like Randi Rhodes, Rachel Maddow, James Carville, and Jesse Jackson announce they won’t vote for one candidate or the other, I find it impossible to see the Democrats facing anything close to the divisiveness that the Republicans are staring at come the McCain nomination.

Update:

I’m trying to find similar results showing this elsewhere, but CT is an example of how Dems like their candidates and will be content with who ever gets the nomination. DemFromCT at Daily Kos notes:

As it happens, 72% of CT D primary voters will be satisfied if Clinton wins, and 73% feel the same about Obama. There’s no deep divisions and poison in CT Dem circles. The candidates don’t despise each other the way McCain and Romney do, although it wouldn’t matter if they did.

Update II:

OK, Steve Benen has the national exit poll numbers I mentioned above showing how happy Dems are with their candidates:

Despite rumors to the contrary, Democratic voters are not bitterly divided between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama — 72% of all Dems said they’d be satisfied with Clinton as the nominee, and 71% said they’d be happy with Obama.

Update III:

Here’s D-Day’s take (via D. Aristophanes):

That’s what I see when I talk to actual Democrats, particularly those who don’t spend all their time on the Internet. Not only do Democrats like both candidates, not only do they think they are going to get to vote FOR someone instead of AGAINST the Republican this year, but the primary is improving that view.

All of this just goes to show that (a) the Times editorial board made a comparison that falsely equated the Democratic and Republican electoral situation and (b)  from a statistical, anecdotal, and editorial stand point, Dems are pretty happy with where we are right now.

The Republicans’ SSCI Myopia

Watching the Republicans debate FISA amendments over the last number of days, one theme keeps coming up in their speeches. The Republicans are acting like only the Intelligence Committee has jurisdiction on FISA. They keep referring to the fact that the Rockefeller bill is bipartisan and they want retroactive immunity, etc.

What they refuse to recognize is that the Senate Judiciary Committee also has jurisdiction on this matter and what the SJC said – no RI, no bulk collection, minimization, etc – is equally applicable for consideration.

I wonder what would give them the idea that the SSCI interpretations of FISA reform legislation has complete and total precedence over the SJC work on the legislation?

Could it possibly be that Harry Reid’s decision to make the SSCI bill the underlying bill contributed to this position? Perish the thought…

Giuliani’s Fall

The NY Times pretty much nails Giuliani’s precipitous fall from national frontrunner to punchline for jokes by Ron Paul and Fred Thompson supporters.

In interviews Tuesday, even before he gave a concession speech in which he spoke of his campaign in the past tense, Mr. Giuliani described his strategic mistakes, suggesting that his opponents had built up too much momentum in earlier primaries. But this is a rhetorical sleight of hand; he in fact competed hard in New Hampshire, to remarkably poor effect.

Perhaps a simpler dynamic was at work: The more that Republican voters saw of him, the less they wanted to vote for him.

Giuliani was a bad mayor with fascist tendencies and an egotistical side that would make George W. Bush blush. He took advantage of a national tragedy, first for personal economic gain, then for personal political gain. His campaign’s reliance on 9/11 demeaned the victims of the attack and the nation that moved on from it. The victims’ families asked him to stop. The fire fighters asked him to stop. But perhaps only devastating humiliation in his losses to joke candidates like Ron Paul and Fred Thompson will dissuade him from continuing to profiteer from the attacks of September 11th. After all, it’s all about Rudy in his mind.

I can hardly think of a politician that deserved this public and national a humiliation more than Rudy Giuliani.

Other Wars

John McCain really is insane.

Sen. John McCain told a crowd of supporters on Sunday, “It’s a tough war we’re in. It’s not going to be over right away. There’s going to be other wars.” Offering more of his increasingly bleak “straight talk,” he repeated the claim: “I’m sorry to tell you, there’s going to be other wars. We will never surrender but there will be other wars.”

As I keep telling people, if you like neoconservative war mongering under the Bush administration, you’ll love a McCain administration.

People like McCain should be marginalized for their crazy ideas, not considered as potential choices to run the world’s sole super power.

Obstructionism Could Cost the Republicans A Win

I’ve never been one to see a lot of virtue in the Senate’s traditions of collegiality across party lines. But now that the Republicans have so strongly cast their lot with obstructionist tactics for explicit partisan gain on the eve of the State of the Union, there may be a real value in the fact that this body doesn’t like it when one side of the aisle proverbially flips the Risk board off the table and prevents the game from continuing.

When the GOP moved to block every single amendment to the Intel bill yesterday, they likely set a lot of moderate Republicans and conservative Democrats against their tactics, at least in large enough numbers to ensure that Monday’s cloture vote on the Intel bill will be won by the Democrats.

Senators Specter, Whitehouse, Feinstein, and Bill Nelson all had their compromise amendments shut out. Those are amendments that, though bad, are borne out of a desire not to have the pure Intel bill be made into law. Now they may well be amenable to voting against cloture on the Intel bill so their amendments can be given a chance to be considered by the full Senate.

Even Jay Rockefeller, Dick Cheney’s partner in writing the bad Intel bill, isn’t going to go along with it. D-Day says, “Jay Rockefeller today announced on the Senate floor that he would not support cloture on the FISA bill without more amendments voted on.”

We all know the Republicans in the Senate have brought a vicious strategy of obstructionism to the FISA fight. We will soon find out if they’ve gone too far and assured their own defeat.

Cross posted at the CREDO Blog.