Auerback on Dems Putting Social Security at Risk

Writing at Naked Capitalism, Marshall Auerback puts forth a devastating critiques of how Democrats are creating the conditions which put Social Security at risk. A key part of this analysis is that the Deficit Commission was put together and appointed by President Obama (after the Democratic Congress refused to do so). There are a lot of different ideas leaking out of the commission, from austerity to cuts to Social Security and Medicare. But Auerback writes, “No mention of Republicans getting on board. This is self-immolation, plain and simple.”

Auerback goes on to question the basic validity of the Democratic Party continuing to identify with FDR, given the close relationship so many Democrats have with Wall Street. I don’t think this is a fair analysis, simply because as we saw yesterday there is a multitude within the Democratic Party. But I do think it’s fair to place blame on the corporatists with close ties to Wall Street, as well as the conservative Blue Dogs and New Dems who have continually pushed for cutting taxes on the wealthy and reducing benefits for working class Americans. Of course, Auerback notes the culpability of the present administration in driving both the conversation and putting people in charge who are known opponents of Social Security.

I also think Auerback’s description of the President’s Saturday radio address attacking Republicans for wanting to privatize Social Security (which is something of a non sequitor from the current conversation) as “cynical” is accurate. Obama could be leading on this and really strengthening Social Security, framing it around providing a promise for a safe and secure retirement to countless Americans who worked hard throughout their lives. Simply framing the debate around protecting from privatization is, as Auerback says, politics as usual.

Will Republicans Fire Public Servants?

The Senate is voting this morning on a jobs bill that includes state funding for Medicaid, teachers and other public servants. The bill in question has been written to the specifications of alleged Republican moderates Susan Collins and Olympia Snowe, both from Maine. Spending has been cut from previous versions. Not only is it deficit neutral, it reduces the deficit (albeit by a small amount).  There is literally no remaining reason for Snowe and Collins to vote against it, other than being in lock-step with the Republican caucus and their desire to stop any legislation that will help working Americans.

The ad above is by Americans United for Change. I think it’s great. It’s about time Republicans pay a political price for their obstructionism, which is forcing their constituents to feel greater and greater economic pain.

I’m a fairly pessimistic person when it comes to expectations for Congress to get things done, but even the thought of Snowe and Collins rejecting this bill utterly appalls me.

Bruce Webb vs Paul Ryan

There’s a lot of talk lately about Republican Representative Paul Ryan and his intellectual chops, especially when it comes to the deficit and entitlement spending. Bruce Webb gives a serious look at Ryan’s “Roadmap for America’s Future” (something it seems almost no media outlets have bothered to do) and basically tears it to shreds. Webb concludes:

Ryan Roadmap: Cut taxes on the rich, increase taxes on the poor. Now that is tax simplification we can all believe in! (Not).

Webb’s deconstruction is so thorough, a parenthetical “not” at the end isn’t sufficiently ironic.

Galbraith: Expand Social Security, Medicare

James Galbraith, one of the staunchest defenders of  Social Security, has an op-ed in The Daily Beast that is definitely worth a read for those trying to contextualize arguments about the economic crisis, job creation, entitlements, and those hawking deficit concerns.  A key point Galbraith makes is that we are not in an ordinary recession, but “We’ve suffered a major collapse of the financial system.” Despite this, Galbraith points out ” There simply is no funding problem for the U.S. government, and in the real world of financial markets, none is foreseen.” The best way out of the current unemployment troubles, Galbraith convincingly argues, is not by cutting but expanding Social Security and Medicare. Lowering the retirement age would allow millions of older workers to retire, creating new jobs for young workers while giving older workers a reliable stream of income for the rest of their lives in Social Security. Similar benefits exist for expanding access to Medicare for younger workers. Galbraith concludes:

Care for the elderly, energy, climate change, the Gulf of Mexico catastrophe, our decayed infrastructure, public health—these are real issues. Let’s deal with them. The “long-term budget deficit” is a phony problem, ginned up by politicians, some economists, and the historic enemies of Social Security and Medicare on Wall Street. For God’s sake, let’s not sacrifice our most successful social programs to the hysteria we’re hearing from them.

This sort of message is critically important. Galbraith has been key in banging the Address Real Problems drum, as have people like Bob Herbert, Duncan Black and Paul Krugman. Moreover, as the deficit hawking heats up, having a sensible frame to talk about growing, not shrinking, entitlements is really important. Galbraith is a persuasive advocate and a voice who should be amplified.

Is the Fed Scared?

This post at Economics of Contempt puts forth an interesting theory that the Fed isn’t taking more action, including trying something unorthodox, because they worry that politicians will harshly criticize them. Of course, as Economics of Contempt notes, if the Fed isn’t acting as they are able to as an independent body because of political fears, then the Fed really isn’t independent.

I’m not entirely comfortable with the version of history in the post which says the Fed was successful “bailing out AIG, establishing currency swap lines, supporting the money market funds.” Sure, they saved Wall Street, but unemployment has dramatically increased from 2008 to now — from 6.2% to 9.5%. If the economy has taken a massive hit in real terms, how well did the Fed succeed? Not well, as it created a depression.

Also, it’s a nice trick if it is the case that the Fed won’t act out of fear of being criticized of politicians. As we see with the deficit hawks, politicians must set policy out of fears of vengeful bond traders, while the Fed must avoid action for fear of what vengeful politicians might say.

Krugman

It’s pretty rare for me to find a blog post, let alone a full opinion column, that I agree with pretty much word for word. But today’s column by Paul Krugman is pretty much it for me. Krugman shows a magnificent understanding of the Obama administration’s behavior and how it has generated a disappointed base. But what makes Krugman’s column important isn’t that he adequately describes progressive pessimism about Obama, but that he sincerely tries to show the administration how their course of actions has been counterproductive and resulted in smaller achievements and more frequent defeats. Krugman is clearly a person who wants Obama and this administration to succeed; I hope the White House can view this column as being written in good faith and with the best of the country in mind.

It’s also worth pointing out Krugman’s endorsement of Elizabeth Warren to run the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. He makes the case for Warren and also points out that if the administration does not nominate her to run the CFPB, it’s likely that it will serve as a microcosm for ways in which the administration has disappointed progressives.

It’s really interesting to watch the progressive online community pay this close attention to Warren and the CFPB. When I was working on Chris Dodd’s presidential campaign, in 2007 and early 2008, Tim Tagaris and I theorized that beyond ending the war in Iraq  and Bush’s attacks on civil liberties, the biggest issue that consistently drew blog outrage was the bankruptcy bills. Progressive blogs were able to watch and comment on fundamentally unfair and corporatist legislation. In many ways, progressive opposition to the bankruptcy bills of 2002-2005 is a perfect encapsulation of progressive values. Then the blogs were largely older, whiter, college educated and with incomes of over $70,000. And yet, economic legislation that would disproportionately hurt poor people and people of color was one of the most energizing issues in the blogs. I think a similar thing is happening now with the CFPB and Warren. It’s not just about appointing Warren, a proven advocate for the middle class; it’s about having government that works for the people. Separate from the specific policy and political implications of the CFPB fight, this is a great reminder to me of why I’m glad to be a member of the online progressive community.

Myth Busting Social Security Lies

Digby has posted an email from MoveOn wherein they bust up the top five myths conservatives are pushing about Social Security. Prometheus stealing fire is a myth. These are lies and should be treated as such.

Top 5 Social Security Myths

Rumors of Social Security’s demise are greatly exaggerated. But some powerful people keep spreading lies about the program to scare people into accepting benefit cuts. Can you check out this list of Social Security myths and share it with your friends, family and coworkers?

Myth: Social Security is going broke.

Reality: There is no Social Security crisis. By 2023, Social Security will have a $4.6 trillion surplus (yes, trillion with a ‘T’). It can pay out all scheduled benefits for the next quarter-century with no changes whatsoever.1 After 2037, it’ll still be able to pay out 75% of scheduled benefits–and again, that’s without any changes. The program started preparing for the Baby Boomers retirement decades ago. Anyone who insists Social Security is broke probably wants to break it themselves.

Myth: We have to raise the retirement age because people are living longer.

Reality: This is red-herring to trick you into agreeing to benefit cuts. Retirees are living about the same amount of time as they were in the 1930s. The reason average life expectancy is higher is mostly because many fewer people die as children than did 70 years ago.3 What’s more, what gains there have been are distributed very unevenly–since 1972, life expectancy increased by 6.5 years for workers in the top half of the income brackets, but by less than 2 years for those in the bottom half.4 But those intent on cutting Social Security love this argument because raising the retirement age is the same as an across-the-board benefit cut.

Myth: Benefit cuts are the only way to fix Social Security.

Reality: Social Security doesn’t need to be fixed. But if we want to strengthen it, here’s a better way: Make the rich pay their fair share. If the very rich paid taxes on all of their income, Social Security would be sustainable for decades to come. Right now, high earners only pay Social Security taxes on the first $106,000 of their income. But conservatives insist benefit cuts are the only way because they want to protect the super-rich from paying their fair share.

Myth: The Social Security Trust Fund has been raided and is full of IOUs

Reality: Not even close to true. The Social Security Trust Fund isn’t full of IOUs, it’s full of U.S. Treasury Bonds. And those bonds are backed by the full faith and credit of the United States. The reason Social Security holds only treasury bonds is the same reason many Americans do: The federal government has never missed a single interest payment on its debts. President Bush wanted to put Social Security funds in the stock market–which would have been disastrous–but luckily, he failed. So the trillions of dollars in the Social Security Trust Fund, which are separate from the regular budget, are as safe as can be.

Myth: Social Security adds to the deficit

Reality: It’s not just wrong — it’s impossible! By law, Social Security funds are separate from the budget, and it must pay its own way. That means that Social Security can’t add one penny to the deficit.

This is really good stuff, and important too. Good job, MoveOn.

Elizabeth Warren & the CFPB

This weekend, the New York Times published an editorial supporting Elizabeth Warren to run the newly-created Bureau of Consumer Financial Protection. This is a big step forward and sign that conventional wisdom is aligning behind much of the progressive online community to support Professor Warren. The Times makes very clear that Warren is simply the best for the job…and for good reason: the banks know she will be an effective protector of consumer interests. “The banks don’t oppose Ms. Warren because she doesn’t get it. They oppose her because she does.”

I would love to see Professor Warren nominated. I started reading her posts at TPM Cafe’s Warren Reports back shortly after the site launched. She provided advice to the Dodd campaign when we were building out a bankruptcy reform plan. And she has been a tireless advocate for the middle class. She is a real leader who can effectively explain complex financial machinations and use understanding and transparency against a financial system that is built to obfuscate real costs to working people.

As of now, I really don’t know how likely it is that the Obama administration will nominate Warren to run the CFPB. It’d be great if they did, as it would be a sign that they are truly committed to making this new agency as powerful and impactful as possible. Certainly there are others who could do the job, but Warren’s leadership on this issue deserves to be recognized not just by activists who share her views, but by those who can lend power to her views.

What Krugman Said

Paul Krugman hits a home run in today’s column:

But if politicians who insist that the way to reduce deficits is to cut taxes, not raise them, start winning elections again, how much faith can anyone have that we’ll do what needs to be done? Yes, we can have a fiscal crisis. But if we do, it won’t be because we’ve spent too much trying to create jobs and help the unemployed. It will be because investors have looked at our politics and concluded, with justification, that we’ve turned into a banana republic.

Of course, flirting with crisis is arguably part of the plan. There has always been a sense in which voodoo economics was a cover story for the real doctrine, which was “starve the beast”: slash revenue with tax cuts, then demand spending cuts to close the resulting budget gap. The point is that starve the beast basically amounts to deliberately creating a fiscal crisis, in the belief that the crisis can be used to push through unpopular policies, like dismantling Social Security.

Anyway, we really should thank Senators Kyl and McConnell for their sudden outbursts of candor. They’ve now made it clear, in case anyone had doubts, that their previous posturing on the deficit was entirely hypocritical. If they really do have the kind of electoral win they’re expecting, they won’t try to reduce the deficit — they’ll try to make it explode by demanding even more budget-busting tax cuts.

In many ways, the fighting that is going on now about taxation, stimulating spending, and the deficit is a good reminder that while these are big questions, the largest question is why Democrats continue to operate under the assumption that Republicans are good faith partners in governance. Doing so only reveals them to be totally ignorant of the reality they exist in, but acting with the expectation that Republicans were bad faith participants in their jobs, would likely damage precious comity on the Hill. Moreover, actually saying in public that the GOP does not care about Americans (as members of government are elected to serve and protect the American public) would probably cause their world to end.